Economic Research

New From Liberty Street Economics
The Value of a College Degree
The first in this week’s four-part series. Despite what appears to be a set of alarming trends, the net present value of a bachelor’s degree for the average graduate has held near its all-time high of about $300,000 for more than a decade.
By Jaison R. Abel and Richard Deitz
International Banking Research Network image
International Banking Research Network
This New York Fed-hosted microsite describes an initiative of central bank researchers who are engaged in a coordinated study of global banks and their activities internationally.
Center for MicroEconomic Data  image
The Center for Microeconomic Data
This new research hub centralizes the wide-ranging microeconomic data, research, and analysis produced by the New York Fed.
Higher Education Map
For-Profits in the Higher Education Landscape
Interactive maps and charts shed light on the unprecedented growth, market share, student loans, tuition pricing, federal grants, and more for for-profit higher education institutions.
Recent Articles
Job Search Behavior over the Business Cycle
The authors examine how nonemployed workers’ job search effort varies over the business cycle and consider its implications for individual and aggregate labor market outcomes. To this end, they construct a measure of search effort by combining information from the American Time Use Survey and the Current Population Survey.
By Toshihiko Mukoyama, Christina Patterson, and Ayşegül Şahin, Staff Reports 689, August 2014
A Leverage-Based Measure of Financial Instability
The authors develop a measure of financial instability designed to give regulators and policymakers advance warning of financial crises and apply it to an investigation of the 1998 collapse of Long-Term Capital Management.
By Alexander Tepper and Karol Jan Borowiecki, Staff Reports 688, August 2014
Shifts in the Beveridge Curve
The authors examine the behavior of the Beveridge curve—the relationship between unemployment and the job vacancy rate—since 1950. They find that the curve’s outward shift in the present recovery was consistent with its behavior in past recoveries and that such shifts do not predict the unemployment rate that will obtain at the end of the expansion.
By Peter A. Diamond and Ayşegül Şahin, Staff Reports 687, August 2014
Africa Is on Time
Pinkovskiy and Sala-i-Martin present evidence that the recent African growth renaissance has reached Africa's poor.
By Maxim Pinkovskiy and Xavier Sala-i-Martin, Staff Reports 686, August 2014
Information Heterogeneity and Intended College Enrollment
This study finds that if individuals were provided with accurate information about college costs and the returns to a college education, their estimates of the likelihood of their (pre-college age) child attending college would increase significantly.
By Zachary Bleemer and Basit Zafar, Staff Reports 685, August 2014
Direct Purchases of U.S. Treasury Securities by Federal Reserve Banks
Garbade addresses three questions: Why did Congress 1) prohibit direct purchases in 1935 (after they had been utilized without incident for eighteen years), 2) provide a limited exemption in 1942 (instead of simply removing the prohibition), and 3) allow the exemption to expire in 1981?
By Kenneth D. Garbade, Staff Reports 684, August 2014
University Choice: The Role of Expected Earnings, Non-Pecuniary Outcomes, and Financial Constraints
Delavande and Zafar investigate the determinants of students’ university choice, with a focus on expected monetary returns, non-pecuniary factors enjoyed at school, and financial constraints, in the Pakistani context.
By Adeline Delavande and Basit Zafar, Staff Reports 683, August 2014
Educational Assortative Mating and Household Income Inequality
Educational assortative mating is a pattern in which individuals choose to mate with one another based on similar educational attainment. Using data from the United States and Norway over the period 1980-2007, the authors investigate this pattern, its evolution over time, and its impact on household income inequality.
By Lasse Eika, Magne Mogstad, and Basit Zafar, Staff Reports 682, August 2014
The Causes and Consequences of Puerto Rico’s Declining Population
Although a slowdown in Puerto Rico’s birthrate has contributed to the island’s sharp population decline, a surge in out-migration has been a more important factor. The authors consider steps that might counter the trend, including efforts to shore up the economy and expand job opportunities for younger workers.
By Jaison R. Abel and Richard Deitz, Current Issues in Economics and Finance, volume 20, number 4, August 2014
Upcoming Events
Related New York Fed Content
Related External Content